Investing or Pay Off Debt, It's a No
Brainer
by Chris Blanchet
It should not come as a surprise why
financial advisors will tell you to start
investing now, even though they all agree
behind closed doors that eliminating debt should be a
financial priority. The reason they do this? They have
families to feed, too; if they don't sell their product
(investments) they don't eat.
Many advisors will emphasize that the power of compounding
outweighs paying a few bucks in interest every month. Which
is true; but a few bucks in interest is unlikely for most
of us (the average American carries $22,100 in debt). As a
result, investing early and making credit payments will
hinder your lifestyle and keep you in debt.
We can put this argument to the test by knowing your Cash
Dilution Rate. What this rate reveals is exactly how much
we give away to the people we owe money to. For example, if
we earn $100 after-tax and have a dilution rate of 16%, we
enjoy only $84 of this money. The higher our rate, the more
it makes sense to forego investing right now in favor of
repaying our debt.
Consider the following scenario. Where an individual earns
$2,000 in after-tax income but just $22,100 in debt at an
average rate of 14.5%, her cash dilution rate is a
startling 13.35%. What this means is that the debtor keeps
only $1,732.86.
One way to understand the severity of this situation is to
weigh the $267.14 in monthly credit costs against how much
can be invested on a monthly basis. For example, investing
an additional $250 per month reduced the amount this
individual keeps every month even further to less than
$1,500 ($2,000 - ($267.14 + 250.00)).
However, if this individual could eliminate all of her
debt, the $267.14 in monthly savings could be earmarked for
her investments. What damage does this cause to her
long-term savings? That depends because there are two ways
to tackle this scenario.
In the first case, this investor might find that an
additional $250 per month to invest is, in fact, not much
of a sacrifice. If this is the case, then that additional
$250 should still go toward repaying debt (assuming there
is absolutely no guaranteed financial incentive to invest
such as an employer-matching program). This would reduce
the debt even faster, from a little more than 57 months
until full repayment without using the extra $250, to a
little less than 35 months if she uses that $250 to repay
the debt. Once all of the debt is repaid, the $250 +
$267.14 can be invested for a total investment value of
$517.14 per month.
The other factor to consider is timing. If she has only 15
years left to invest, what happens if she postpones her
start date by 3 years while she repays debt? The impact is
negligible, in fact. By repaying all of her debt first, she
might only be left with 12 years, but she will be able to
invest more once the debt is repaid ($250 + 267.14 instead
of just $250 today). This translates into additional,
compounded savings of $38,283, assuming a constant rate of
return and that she can still invest $250 + 267.14. Not
only does she come out ahead to the tune of thirty-eight
thousand dollars, but she is debt-free, allowing her to
weather unforeseen financial turbulence in the years to
come.
Another way to look at this is to assume that after nearly
three years of paying $517.14, she wants to start enjoying
more of her life and decides that instead of investing
$267.14 (what she saves in credit payments) plus the full
$250, she invests only one half of the $250 and spends the
other $125 on something frivolous (like shoes). Spending
$125 on shoes allows just $392.14 to be invested. Taking
into account that she starts investing three years later,
she would still come out farther ahead than if she invested
$250 per month today (she would be ahead to the tune of
$7,167, it turns out).
As evidenced above, accelerating a debt repayment plan
should often take priority over investing for the simple
sake of future compounded growth. This statement
contradicts a lot of what has been written already about
wealth building, but the illustration above shows us just
one way a debt-free lifestyle allows us to enjoy greater
wealth down the road. Of course, there are some rare
instances where an investment plan should be used in
conjunction with a debt repayment schedule but, again,
those situations are rare.
About the Author:
Chris Blanchet has over fifteen years of experience as
a Financial Advisor. He is the author of the
Personal
Finances e-Book Help Fix My Finances, which is
the basis of the Members Only website the same
name. Be sure to visit his Debt Free
Blog.
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